Empty Vial
Trade Goods · Other · item 3371 · vendor 1c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 17 | 35% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 18 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 37% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.229, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 67% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Lesser Mageblood Elixir Alchemy | 1 | 2s 90c |
| Minor Spellblasting Potion Alchemy | 1 | 1s 56c |
| Lesser Spellblasting Potion Alchemy | 1 | 1s 40c |
| Elixir of Lesser Spirit Alchemy | 1 | 1s 26c |
| Cerulean Dye Alchemy | 1 | 1s 15c |
| Minor Cleric's Elixir Alchemy | 1 | 1s 10c |
| Sulfuric Acid Alchemy | 1 | 81c |
| Elixir of Minor Spirit Alchemy | 1 | 76c |
| Minor Mageblood Elixir Alchemy | 1 | 54c |
 Elixir of Giant Growth Alchemy |
1 | 43c |
| Fish Bowl Fishing | 1 | 42c |
 Elixir of Minor Agility Alchemy |
1 | 35c |
 Blackmouth Oil Alchemy |
1 | 20c |
| Mana Well Alchemy | 1 | 16c |
 Fire Oil Alchemy |
1 | 2c |
| Elixir of Minor Force Alchemy | 1 | −6c |
| Minor Arcane Elixir Alchemy | 1 | −14c |
 Elixir of Minor Strength Alchemy |
1 | −21c |
| Minor Frenzy Potion Alchemy | 1 | −57c |
 Draught of Water Breathing Alchemy |
1 | −66c |
 Minor Healing Potion First Aid |
1 | −99c |
 Lesser Healing Potion First Aid |
1 | −1s 19c |
 Elixir of Minor Defense Alchemy |
1 | −1s 22c |
 Rage Potion Alchemy |
1 | −1s 42c |
| Minor Wizard Oil Enchanting | 1 | −1s 55c |
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