Minor Cleric's Elixir
Consumable · Elixirs · item 250330 · vendor 25c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 80 | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 81 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 23 postings (HHI 0.071, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 65% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 2× 
Mageroyal 88c, 1× 
Bruiseweed 87c, 1× 
Empty Vial 9c
Materials 2s 72c → sells for 3s 66c: 94c per craft
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