Fire Oil
Trade Goods · Other · item 6371 · vendor 12c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 39 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| +10% to +30% | 14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 89 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 21% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.134, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 66% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 2× 
Firefin Snapper 65c, 1× 
Empty Vial 6c
Materials 1s 36c → sells for 1s 38c: 2c per craft
Can craft it: Mister
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Crimson Silk Cloak Tailoring |
2 | 44s 61c |
| Elixir of Holy Power Alchemy | 3 | −1s 33c |
 Fire Protection Potion Alchemy |
1 | −2s 15c |
 Elixir of Fire Power Alchemy |
2 | −2s 72c |
 Crimson Silk Shoulders Tailoring |
2 | −12s 14c |
 Crimson Silk Gloves Tailoring |
2 | −73s 52c |
| Crimson Silk Shoulders Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Flame Boots Tailoring | 1 | – |
| Filigreed Flame Gown Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Flame Gloves Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Flame Sash Tailoring | 3 | – |
| Filigreed Flame Leggings Tailoring | 4 | – |
| Flame Circlet Tailoring | 4 | – |
| Flame Gown Tailoring | 6 | – |
| Filigreed Flame Circlet Tailoring | 6 | – |
| Flame Leggings Tailoring | 8 | – |
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