Elixir of Minor Agility
Consumable · Elixirs · item 2457 · vendor 15c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 13 | 33% | 90% | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| floor to +10% | 9 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 11 sales out of 22 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 81% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.659, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 83% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Swiftthistle 8s 65c, 1× 
Silverleaf 25c, 1× 
Empty Vial 6c
Materials 8s 96c → sells for 9s 31c: 35c per craft
Can craft it: Mister
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Nimble Leather Gloves Leatherworking |
1 | −10s 99c |
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