FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Bronze Tube

Trade Goods · Parts · item 4371 · vendor 2s

no demand model yet
Floor5s 98ccheapest 5s 80c
Median6s 93cby quantity
Listed1,953237 listings
Sold / day52avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2060%0%0%0%0%
over +30%790%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 285 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 16% of listed quantity across 36 postings (HHI 0.06, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 40% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:496s 99c13s 50c20
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 61c13s 50c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:496s 99c14s 25c20
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 60c13s 75c5
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 61c14s 75c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 60c14s 75c3
Sat 14 Nov 14:496s 99c14s 75c20
Sat 14 Nov 14:496s 99c14s 75c20
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 60c14s 80c3
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 61c14s 80c2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Bronze Bar 1s 84c, 1× Weak Flux 98c

Materials 4s 66c → sells for 5s 68c: 1s 2c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
EZ-Thro Bronze Mortar Engineering 4 86s 6c
Lovingly Crafted Boomstick Engineering 2 34s 72c
Minor Recombobulator Engineering 1 23s 66c
Repair Bot Engineering 1 15s 67c
Moonsight Rifle Engineering 3 9s 94c
Accurate Scope Engineering 1 88c
Discombobulator Ray Engineering 1 −2s 98c
Standard Scope Engineering 1 −8s 15c
Ornate Spyglass Engineering 2 −13s 86c
Portable Bronze Mortar Engineering 4 −27s 69c
Silver-plated Shotgun Engineering 2 −31s 15c
Clanking Cord Engineering 2 –
Serrated Strap Engineering 1 –

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