Armor · Miscellaneous · item 260802 · vendor 20s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 69 | 6% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 73 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 51% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.326, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 61% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 65s | 2g 10s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 4×
Bronze Tube 4s 50c, 1×
Iron Strut 10s, 4×
Heavy Blasting Powder 4s 20c, 4×
Medium Leather 94c, 1×
EZ-Thro Fireproof Fuse 13s 85c
Materials 62s 41c → sells for 1g 56s: 94s 34c per craft
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