FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Iron Strut

Trade Goods · Parts · item 4387 · vendor 4s

no demand model yet

Floor11s 89ccheapest 11s 89c

Median13s 50cby quantity

Listed1,521141 listings

Sold / day148avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	129	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
over +30%	43	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 172 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 12% of listed quantity across 29 postings (HHI 0.069, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 69% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 97c	14s 99c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 85c	14s 99c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 80c	14s 99c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 75c	14s 99c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	7s 48c	14s 99c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	7s 48c	14s 99c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 97c	15s 97c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 85c	15s 97c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 80c	15s 97c	20
Sat 14 Nov 14:49	8s 75c	15s 97c	20

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Iron Bar 2s 86c

Materials 5s 72c → sells for 11s 29c: 5s 57c per craft

Used to make

Recipe	Needs	Profit
Centaur Banner Deployment Device Engineering	6	64g 74s
Mechanical Dragonling Engineering	4	1g 12s
Hoof-Shaped Foot Pedal Engineering	3	1g 9s
EZ-Thro Bronze Mortar Engineering	1	84s 55c
Advanced Target Dummy Engineering	1	1s 18c
Compact Harvest Reaper Kit Engineering	2	−9s 36c
Portable Bronze Mortar Engineering	1	−28s 75c
Tinkerbox: Magnetic Displacement Engineering	2	–