Compact Harvest Reaper Kit
Consumable · Device · item 4391 · vendor 40s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 9 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 9 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 31% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.247, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 40s | 54s | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 2× 
Iron Strut 11s 75c, 1× 
Bronze Framework 8s 94c, 2× 
Gyrochronatom 8s 53c, 4× 
Heavy Leather 1s 97c
Materials 57s 38c → sells for 51s 30c: −6s 8c per craft
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