FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Bronze Framework

Trade Goods · Parts · item 4382 · vendor 6s

no demand model yet
Floor8s 94ccheapest 8s 91c
Median9s 70cby quantity
Listed1,205170 listings
Sold / day68avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2149%9%9%9%9%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 15 sales out of 216 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 45 postings (HHI 0.065, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 48% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 15:499s 89c12s 89c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:499s 89c12s 89c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:499s 89c12s 89c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4914s 99c20s 89c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4914s 99c20s 89c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4914s 99c20s 89c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4914s 99c21s 85c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4914s 99c21s 85c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4914s 99c21s 85c1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Bronze Bar 1s 84c, 1× Medium Leather 98c, 1× Wool Cloth 1s 46c

Materials 6s 12c → sells for 8s 49c: 2s 37c per craft

Used to make

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