Trade Goods · Parts · item 4382 · vendor 6s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 214 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 15 sales out of 216 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 45 postings (HHI 0.065, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 48% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 89c | 12s 89c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 89c | 12s 89c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 89c | 12s 89c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 14s 99c | 20s 89c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 14s 99c | 20s 89c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 14s 99c | 20s 89c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 14s 99c | 21s 85c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 14s 99c | 21s 85c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 14s 99c | 21s 85c | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Bronze Bar 1s 84c, 1×
Medium Leather 98c, 1×
Wool Cloth 1s 46c
Materials 6s 12c → sells for 8s 49c: 2s 37c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1g 19s | |
| 2 | 88s 99c | |
| 1 | 3s 68c | |
| 1 | −6s 8c | |
| 1 | −9s 32c | |
| 1 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 1 | – |
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