FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Explosive Sheep

Consumable · Explosives · item 4384 · vendor 10s

no demand model yet
Floor18s 98ccheapest 12s
Median24sby quantity
Listed1,266203 listings
Sold / day3avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1610%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 161 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 41 postings (HHI 0.055, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 54% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Bronze Framework 8s 94c, 1× Whirring Bronze Gizmo 7s 19c, 2× Heavy Blasting Powder 4s 15c, 2× Wool Cloth 1s 46c

Materials 27s 35c → sells for 18s 3c: −9s 32c per craft

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