Trade Goods · Parts · item 4375 · vendor 1s 15c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 120 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 156 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 15% of listed quantity across 18 postings (HHI 0.096, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 27% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 80c | 8s 95c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 75c | 8s 95c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 80c | 8s 95c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 75c | 8s 95c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 77c | 8s 95c | 8 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 75c | 8s 95c | 3 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 75c | 8s 95c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 77c | 8s 95c | 8 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 70c | 8s 95c | 14 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 4s 77c | 9s | 6 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 1×
Wool Cloth 1s 46c
Materials 5s 30c → sells for 6s 96c: 1s 66c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53s 57c | |
| 2 | 23s 22c | |
| 2 | 14s 85c | |
| 2 | 10s 32c | |
| 3 | 8s 47c | |
| 3 | −3s 83c | |
| 1 | −9s 84c | |
| 2 | −17s 75c | |
| 1 | −20s 83c | |
| 2 | −29s 61c | |
| 1 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 1 | – |
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