FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Whirring Bronze Gizmo

Trade Goods · Parts · item 4375 · vendor 1s 15c

no demand model yet
Floor7s 33ccheapest 7s 32c
Median7s 91cby quantity
Listed1,294140 listings
Sold / day276avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1200%0%0%0%0%
over +30%360%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 156 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 15% of listed quantity across 18 postings (HHI 0.096, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 27% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 80c8s 95c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 75c8s 95c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 80c8s 95c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 75c8s 95c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 77c8s 95c8
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 75c8s 95c3
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 75c8s 95c20
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 77c8s 95c8
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 70c8s 95c14
Sat 14 Nov 14:494s 77c9s6

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 1× Wool Cloth 1s 46c

Materials 5s 30c → sells for 6s 96c: 1s 66c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Gnomish Universal Remote Engineering 1 53s 57c
Minor Recombobulator Engineering 2 23s 22c
Repair Bot Engineering 2 14s 85c
Goblin Jumper Cables Engineering 2 10s 32c
Moonsight Rifle Engineering 3 8s 47c
Discombobulator Ray Engineering 3 −3s 83c
Explosive Sheep Engineering 1 −9s 84c
Ornate Spyglass Engineering 2 −17s 75c
Ice Deflector Engineering 1 −20s 83c
Silver-plated Shotgun Engineering 2 −29s 61c
Flame Deflector Engineering 1 –
Shredder Autosalvage Unit Engineering 2 –
Shafety Sheep Engineering 1 –
Whimsical Waistwrap Engineering 1 –
Gizmo Girdle Engineering 2 –
Satchel of Bronze Bombs Engineering 1 –

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