Consumable · Other · item 279949
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 47 | 10% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 47 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.125, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 18% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Whirring Bronze Gizmo 4s 88c, 1×
Bronze Tube 4s 99c, 1×
Heavy Leather 1s 96c
Materials 16s 71c → sells for 37s 99c: 21s 28c per craft
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