Moonsight Rifle
Weapon · Gun · item 4383 · vendor 31s 83c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 24 | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| floor to +10% | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| +10% to +30% | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 36 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 45% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.245, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 75% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 80s | 1g | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 3× 
Bronze Tube 5s 98c, 3× 
Whirring Bronze Gizmo 7s 19c, 1× 
Heavy Stock 19s, 2× 
Lesser Moonstone 6s 15c
Materials 70s 81c → sells for 80s 75c: 9s 94c per craft
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