Armor · Miscellaneous · item 7148 · vendor 21c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 10 | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 11 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 56% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.463, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 50s | 64s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 6×
Iron Bar 2s 86c, 2×
Whirring Bronze Gizmo 7s 33c, 2×
Flask of Oil 60c, 2×
Silk Cloth 1s 99c, 2×
Shadowgem 2s 64c, 1×
Fused Wiring 8s 20c
Materials 50s 48c → sells for 60s 80c: 10s 32c per craft
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