Ornate Spyglass
Consumable · Device · item 5507 · vendor 6s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 80 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 80 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 19 postings (HHI 0.08, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 20s | 25s | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 2× 
Bronze Tube 5s 98c, 2× 
Whirring Bronze Gizmo 7s 19c, 1× 
Copper Modulator 6s 24c, 1× 
Moss Agate 7s 87c
Materials 40s 45c → sells for 26s 59c: −13s 86c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Floppy Goggles Engineering |
1 | – |
| Bent Goggles Engineering |
1 | – |
| Stuckbutton Goggles Engineering |
1 | – |
| Dented Goggles Engineering |
1 | – |
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