Trade Goods · Parts · item 4363 · vendor 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 86 | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| +10% to +30% | 24 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 112 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 8% of listed quantity across 31 postings (HHI 0.057, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 24% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 6s 24c | 8s 19c | 10 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Handful of Copper Bolts 2s 40c, 1×
Copper Bar 2s, 2×
Linen Cloth 26c
Materials 7s 32c → sells for 6s 36c: −96c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | −2s 89c | |
| 1 | −6s 90c | |
| 1 | −7s 38c | |
| 1 | −17s 75c | |
| Harvester Override Signalcaster Engineering | 2 | – |
| Clanking Cord Engineering | 1 | – |
| Serrated Strap Engineering | 2 | – |
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