FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Copper Modulator

Trade Goods · Parts · item 4363 · vendor 50c

no demand model yet
Floor6s 70ccheapest 6s
Median7s 38cby quantity
Listed479122 listings
Sold / day189avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor+10% to +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor8616%16%16%16%16%
+10% to +30%244%4%4%4%4%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 112 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 8% of listed quantity across 31 postings (HHI 0.057, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 24% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:496s 24c8s 19c10

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Handful of Copper Bolts 2s 40c, 1× Copper Bar 2s, 2× Linen Cloth 26c

Materials 7s 32c → sells for 6s 36c: −96c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Mechanical Squirrel Engineering 1 −2s 89c
Small Seaforium Charge Engineering 1 −6s 90c
Target Dummy Engineering 1 −7s 38c
Ornate Spyglass Engineering 1 −17s 75c
Harvester Override Signalcaster Engineering 2 –
Clanking Cord Engineering 1 –
Serrated Strap Engineering 2 –

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