Target Dummy
Consumable · Device · item 4366 · vendor 75c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 23 | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 26 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 35% of listed quantity across 17 postings (HHI 0.156, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 39% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 1× 
Copper Modulator 6s 70c, 2× 
Handful of Copper Bolts 2s 40c, 1× 
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 1× 
Wool Cloth 1s 46c
Materials 14s 88c → sells for 7s 50c: −7s 38c per craft
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