Trade Goods · Parts · item 4389 · vendor 7s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 98 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 99 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 24% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.12, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 77% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 1×
Iron Bar 2s 73c, 1×
Gold Power Core 3s 82c
Materials 6s 55c → sells for 8s 10c: 1s 55c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 64g 88s | |
| 4 | 1g 19s | |
| 1 | 88s 99c | |
| 4 | 52s 67c | |
| 4 | 26s 92c | |
| 1 | 3s 68c | |
| 1 | 2s 5c | |
| 2 | −6s 8c | |
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