Trade Goods · Parts · item 10558 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 80 | 11% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 80 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 28 postings (HHI 0.082, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 64g 88s | |
| 1 | 1g 97s | |
| 1 | 88s 99c | |
| 1 | 60s 91c | |
| 1 | 1s 55c | |
| 1 | −16s 96c | |
| 1 | −2g 1s | |
| 1 | – | |
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| 1 | – |
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