Goblin Mortar
Armor · Miscellaneous · item 10577 · vendor 20s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 29 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 29 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 37% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.188, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 75% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 2× Mithril Tube 25s 85c, 4× 
Mithril Bar 10s 10c, 5× 
Solid Blasting Powder 4s 23c, 1× 
Gold Power Core 4s 35c, 1× 
Elemental Fire 70s 90c
Materials 1g 88s → sells for 1g 71s: −16s 57c per craft
Engineering: 1× Goblin Mortar 1g 80s, 1× Mithril Bar 10s 10c, 3× Solid Blasting Powder 4s 23c
Materials 2g 3s → sells for 1g 71s: −31s 84c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| The Mortar: Reloaded Engineering |
1 | −31s 84c |
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