FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Mithril Tube

Trade Goods · Parts · item 10559 · vendor 7s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor31s 90ccheapest 26s 90c
Median36s 94cby quantity
Listed56479 listings
Sold / day207avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%+10% to +30%over +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor616%6%6%6%6%
floor to +10%235%21%21%21%21%
+10% to +30%200%0%0%0%0%
over +30%140%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 118 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 31 postings (HHI 0.068, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 3× Mithril Bar 10s 35c

Materials 31s 5c → sells for 30s 30c: −75c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Thorium Rifle Engineering 2 1g 68s
Goblin Rocket Boots Engineering 2 79s 21c
Deadly Scope Engineering 1 24s 23c
Gnomish Net-o-Matic Projector Engineering 1 14s 55c
Goblin Mortar Engineering 2 4s 51c
Mithril Blunderbuss Engineering 1 2s 52c
Mithril Heavy-bore Rifle Engineering 2 1s 52c
Sniper Scope Engineering 1 −26s 94c
Gnomish Shrink Ray Engineering 1 −27s 42c
Gnomish Rocket Boots Engineering 2 −33s 14c
Compact Critter Carrier Engineering 10 −51s 73c
Gnomish Death Ray Engineering 2 –
Gnomish Goggles Engineering 1 –
Mobile Alarm Engineering 1 –
Goblin Dragon Gun Engineering 2 –

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