Trade Goods · Parts · item 10559 · vendor 7s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 61 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| floor to +10% | 23 | 5% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| +10% to +30% | 20 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 118 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 31 postings (HHI 0.068, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 3×
Mithril Bar 10s 35c
Materials 31s 5c → sells for 30s 30c: −75c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1g 68s | |
| 2 | 79s 21c | |
| 1 | 24s 23c | |
| 1 | 14s 55c | |
| 2 | 4s 51c | |
| 1 | 2s 52c | |
| 2 | 1s 52c | |
| 1 | −26s 94c | |
| 1 | −27s 42c | |
| 2 | −33s 14c | |
| 10 | −51s 73c | |
| 2 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 2 | – |
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