Weapon · Gun · item 10510 · vendor 1g 13s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 15 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 15 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 29% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.224, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Mithril Tube 26s, 1×
Unstable Trigger 23s 19c, 1×
Heavy Stock 19s, 6×
Mithril Bar 9s 99c, 2×
Citrine 8s 50c
Materials 1g 71s → sells for 1g 80s: 9s 37c per craft
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