Consumable · Device · item 10548 · vendor 25s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 20 | 22% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| floor to +10% | 14 | 63% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 14 sales out of 36 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 62% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.516, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 62% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 19:49 | 1g 5s | 3g 10s | 2 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 1×
Mithril Tube 26s 90c, 1×
Star Ruby 59s 42c, 2×
Truesilver Bar 18s 85c
Materials 1g 24s → sells for 2g 94s: 1g 70s per craft
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