FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Sniper Scope

Consumable · Device · item 10548 · vendor 25s

no demand model yet
Floor3g 10scheapest 3g 10s
Median3g 10sby quantity
Listed4810 listings
Sold / day50avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2022%100%100%100%100%
floor to +10%1463%100%100%100%100%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 14 sales out of 36 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 62% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.516, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 62% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 19:491g 5s3g 10s2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Mithril Tube 26s 90c, 1× Star Ruby 59s 42c, 2× Truesilver Bar 18s 85c

Materials 1g 24s → sells for 2g 94s: 1g 70s per craft

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