Consumable · Device · item 15846 · vendor 75s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 187 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 188 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 25% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.144, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 25% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 1×
Mithril Casing 33s 66c, 6×
Thorium Bar 21s 8c, 1×
Gold Power Core 4s 35c, 4×
Unstable Trigger 23s 20c
Materials 2g 57s → sells for 3g 16s: 59s 6c per craft
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