FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Salt Shaker

Consumable · Device · item 15846 · vendor 75s

no demand model yet
Floor3g 33scheapest 3g 24s
Median3g 35sby quantity
Listed9797 listings
Sold / day5avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1873%3%3%3%3%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 188 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 25% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.144, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 25% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Mithril Casing 33s 66c, 6× Thorium Bar 21s 8c, 1× Gold Power Core 4s 35c, 4× Unstable Trigger 23s 20c

Materials 2g 57s → sells for 3g 16s: 59s 6c per craft

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