Trade Goods · Parts · item 10561 · vendor 10s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 90 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 90 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 22% of listed quantity across 14 postings (HHI 0.121, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 3×
Mithril Bar 10s 38c
Materials 31s 14c → sells for 33s 25c: 2s 11c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13g 62s | |
| 1 | 93s 6c | |
| 1 | 60s 91c | |
| 1 | −1s 82c | |
| 1 | −31s | |
| 2 | −73s 46c | |
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