FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Mithril Casing

Trade Goods · Parts · item 10561 · vendor 10s

no demand model yet
Floor35scheapest 35s
Median35s 69cby quantity
Listed48270 listings
Sold / day52avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor904%4%4%4%4%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 90 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 22% of listed quantity across 14 postings (HHI 0.121, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 3× Mithril Bar 10s 38c

Materials 31s 14c → sells for 33s 25c: 2s 11c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
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Salt Shaker Engineering 1 60s 91c
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Mithril Frag Bomb Engineering 1 −31s
Hi-Explosive Bomb Engineering 2 −73s 46c
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