Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 12359 · vendor 6s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 172 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 172 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 13% of listed quantity across 28 postings (HHI 0.07, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 40% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46g 85s | |
| 8 | 21g 50s | |
| 4 | 9g 5s | |
| 20 | 8g 18s | |
| 24 | 7g 37s | |
| 5 | 7g 29s | |
| 16 | 7g 16s | |
| 24 | 3g 40s | |
| 6 | 60s 91c | |
| 20 | 56s 40c | |
| 44 | 17s 4c | |
| 3 | −29s 27c | |
| 1 | −47s 87c | |
| 6 | −74s 62c | |
| 2 | −1g | |
| 20 | −1g 36s | |
| 34 | −1g 96s | |
| 12 | −2g 23s | |
| 12 | −2g 81s | |
| 22 | −3g 31s | |
| 3 | −3g 46s | |
| 16 | – | |
| 10 | – | |
| 18 | – | |
| 20 | – |
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