Enchanted Thorium Bar
Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 12655 · vendor 5s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 13 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 13 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.219, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 47% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Enchanting: 1× 
Thorium Bar 20s 42c, 3× 
Dream Dust 30s 89c
Materials 1g 13s → sells for 65s 49c: −47s 60c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Fiery Plate Gauntlets Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Whitesoul Helm Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Stronghold Gauntlets Blacksmithing |
20 | – |
 Enchanted Thorium Helm Blacksmithing |
16 | – |
 Enchanted Thorium Leggings Blacksmithing |
20 | – |
 Enchanted Thorium Breastplate Blacksmithing |
24 | – |
 Dawn's Edge Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Enchanted Battlehammer Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Blazing Rapier Blacksmithing |
10 | – |
 Serenity Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Blood Talon Blacksmithing |
10 | – |
 Darkspear Blacksmithing |
20 | – |
 Masterwork Stormhammer Blacksmithing |
20 | – |
 Heartseeker Blacksmithing |
10 | – |
 Arcanite Dragonling Engineering |
10 | – |
 Heavy Obsidian Belt Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Jagged Obsidian Shield Blacksmithing |
8 | – |
 Thick Obsidian Breastplate Blacksmithing |
12 | – |
| Titanic Leggings Blacksmithing |
20 | – |
 Ironvine Breastplate Blacksmithing |
12 | – |
 Ironvine Gloves Blacksmithing |
8 | – |
 Ironvine Belt Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Fiery Plate Gauntlets of the Hidden Technique Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Deadly Heartseeker Blacksmithing |
10 | – |
 Tranquility Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
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