Thorium Widget
Trade Goods · Parts · item 15994 · vendor 25s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 44 | 38% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 19 sales out of 47 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.225, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 36% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 3× 
Thorium Bar 18s 98c, 1× 
Runecloth 5s 87c
Materials 62s 81c → sells for 37s 98c: −24s 83c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Thorium Rifle Engineering |
2 | 2g 92s |
 Anarchist's Workbench Engineering |
2 | 2g 24s |
 Dark Iron Bomb Engineering |
2 | 60s 93c |
 Masterwork Target Dummy Engineering |
2 | 49s 38c |
 Goblin Jumper Cables XL Engineering |
2 | −86s 29c |
 Thorium Grenade Engineering |
1 | −91s 73c |
 Lifelike Mechanical Toad Engineering |
4 | – |
 Voice Amplification Modulator Engineering |
1 | – |
 Arcanite Dragonling Engineering |
6 | – |
 Gyrofreeze Ice Reflector Engineering |
6 | – |
 Powerful Seaforium Charge Engineering |
2 | – |
 Alarm-O-Bot Engineering |
2 | – |
 World Enlarger Engineering |
2 | – |
 Tranquil Mechanical Yeti Engineering |
4 | – |
 Steam Tonk Controller Engineering |
2 | – |
 Void-Powered Invoker's Vambraces Engineering |
2 | – |
 Tinkerbox: Teleport Engineering |
1 | – |
 Pop-Up Shrub Engineering |
1 | – |
 Gnomish Army Knife Engineering |
2 | – |
| EZ-Thro Thorium Grenade Engineering |
1 | – |
| EZ-Thro Dark Bomb Engineering |
2 | – |
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