Weak Flux
Trade Goods · Other · item 2880 · vendor 25c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 7 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 7 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 89% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.801, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Cloudy Skyforged Chainmail Blacksmithing | 1 | 1g 25s |
| Azure Skyforged Chainmail Blacksmithing | 1 | 1g 25s |
| Cloudy Skyforged Legguards Blacksmithing | 1 | 1g 24s |
| Azure Skyforged Legguards Blacksmithing | 1 | 1g 24s |
 Copper Battle Axe Blacksmithing |
2 | 10s 7c |
| Brass Knuckles Blacksmithing | 4 | 6s 67c |
 Big Bronze Knife Blacksmithing |
4 | 2s 60c |
 Heavy Copper Maul Blacksmithing |
2 | 1s 4c |
 Bronze Tube Engineering |
1 | 1s 2c |
 Copper Claymore Blacksmithing |
2 | 98c |
 Copper Tube Engineering |
1 | −2s 7c |
 Thick War Axe Blacksmithing |
2 | −3s 18c |
 Bronze Shortsword Blacksmithing |
4 | −4s 77c |
 Bronze Mace Blacksmithing |
4 | −5s 98c |
 Practice Lock Engineering |
1 | −6s 75c |
 Copper Mace Blacksmithing |
1 | −7s 81c |
 Bronze Axe Blacksmithing |
4 | −8s 85c |
 Copper Shortsword Blacksmithing |
1 | −9s 75c |
 Heavy Copper Broadsword Blacksmithing |
2 | −19s 48c |
 Copper Axe Blacksmithing |
1 | – |
 Copper Dagger Blacksmithing |
1 | – |
| Bronze Dory Blacksmithing | 4 | – |
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