Copper Shortsword
Weapon · Sword · item 2847 · vendor 1s 10c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 16 | 36% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| over +30% | 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 11 sales out of 31 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 58% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.366, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 95c | 10g | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 6× 
Copper Bar 2s, 1× 
Weak Flux 98c, 2× 
Linen Cloth 22c
Materials 13s 42c → sells for 3s 79c: −9s 63c per craft
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