Big Bronze Knife
Weapon · Dagger · item 3848 · vendor 9s 15c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 33 | 83% | 83% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 26 sales out of 33 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 39% of listed quantity across 11 postings (HHI 0.235, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 41% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 6× 
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 4× 
Weak Flux 98c, 2× 
Rough Grinding Stone 6c, 1× 
Tigerseye 1s 26c, 1× 
Medium Leather 99c
Materials 17s 81c → sells for 20s 41c: 2s 60c per craft
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