Bronze Shortsword
Weapon · Sword · item 2850 · vendor 11s 36c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 45 | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| over +30% | 16 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 61 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 23% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.168, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 30% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 11s 30c | 15s 30c | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 5× 
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 4× 
Weak Flux 98c, 2× 
Medium Leather 99c
Materials 15s 50c → sells for 10s 73c: −4s 77c per craft
Can craft it: Didgood
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