Weapon · Mace · item 2848 · vendor 8s 98c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 5 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 90% of listed quantity across 2 postings (HHI 0.828, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 90% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 6×
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 4×
Weak Flux 98c, 1×
Medium Leather 99c
Materials 16s 43c → sells for 10s 45c: −5s 98c per craft
Can craft it: Didgood
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