Thick War Axe
Weapon · Axe · item 3489 · vendor 7s 15c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 7 | 43% | 71% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 7 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.105, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 62% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 10× 
Copper Bar 2s, 2× 
Weak Flux 98c, 2× 
Silver Bar 3s 10c, 2× 
Rough Grinding Stone 6c, 2× 
Light Leather 75c
Materials 29s 78c → sells for 26s 60c: −3s 18c per craft
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