FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Accurate Scope

Consumable · Device · item 4407 · vendor 12s

no demand model yet
Floor24s 94ccheapest 24s 93c
Median30s 66cby quantity
Listed12025 listings
Sold / day19avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor190%100%100%100%100%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 19 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 15 postings (HHI 0.099, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 42% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Bronze Tube 5s 98c, 1× Jade 7s 55c, 1× Citrine 9s 28c

Materials 22s 81c → sells for 23s 69c: 88c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Goblin Bomb Dispenser Engineering 2 –

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