Silken Thread
Trade Goods · Cloth · item 4291 · vendor 1s 25c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 16 | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| floor to +10% | 8 | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 27 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 21% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.126, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 43% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Icy Cloak Tailoring |
2 | 2g 37s |
 Earthen Silk Gloves Tailoring |
2 | 1g 32s |
 Tough Scorpid Breastplate Leatherworking |
4 | 1g 17s |
 Guardian Cloak Leatherworking |
2 | 94s 26c |
 Crimson Silk Robe Tailoring |
1 | 92s 54c |
 Star Belt Tailoring |
1 | 54s 3c |
 Comfortable Leather Hat Leatherworking |
2 | 52s 43c |
 Rich Purple Silk Shirt Tailoring |
1 | 44s 9c |
 Crimson Silk Cloak Tailoring |
1 | 44s 9c |
 Earthen Silk Belt Tailoring |
2 | 33s 60c |
 Nightscape Shoulders Leatherworking |
3 | 13s 39c |
 Dusky Boots Leatherworking |
2 | 10s 87c |
 Nightscape Tunic Leatherworking |
2 | 5s 82c |
 Swift Boots Leatherworking |
1 | 3s 45c |
 Barbaric Belt Leatherworking |
1 | 2s 12c |
 Shadow Hood Tailoring |
1 | 1s 84c |
 Black Swashbuckler's Shirt Tailoring |
1 | −15c |
 Boots of the Enchanter Tailoring |
1 | −1s 1c |
 White Swashbuckler's Shirt Tailoring |
1 | −1s 80c |
| Nightscape Headband Leatherworking |
2 | −4s 25c |
 Guardian Gloves Leatherworking |
1 | −11s 22c |
 Crimson Silk Shoulders Tailoring |
2 | −13s 61c |
 Green Silk Armor Tailoring |
1 | −14s 25c |
| Nightscape Cloak Leatherworking |
4 | −14s 88c |
 Long Silken Cloak Tailoring |
1 | −15s 81c |
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