FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Crimson Silk Robe

Armor · Cloth · item 7063 · vendor 47s 41c

no demand model yet
Floor3g 46scheapest 3g 46s
Median3g 46sby quantity
Listed1919 listings
Sold / day2avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2214%14%14%14%14%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 22 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 26% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.191, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 26% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 8× Bolt of Silk Cloth 8s 30c, 4× Elemental Fire 32s, 2× Mana Potion 2s 4c, 4× Red Dye 99c, 1× Silken Thread 4s 50c

Materials 2g 6s → sells for 3g 28s: 1g 21s per craft

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