Trade Goods · Other · item 2604 · vendor 12c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 16 | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 19 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 77% of listed quantity across 4 postings (HHI 0.615, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 84% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 62c | 99c | 2 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1g 4s | |
| 2 | 43s 63c | |
| 3 | 15s 75c | |
| 2 | 4s 11c | |
| 1 | 12c | |
| 1 | −35c | |
| 2 | −38c | |
| 1 | −45c | |
| 3 | −65c | |
| 1 | −3s 16c | |
| 2 | −10s 66c | |
| 2 | −13s 41c | |
| 2 | −14s 24c | |
| 2 | −14s 73c | |
| 2 | −17s 81c | |
| 2 | −20s 23c | |
| 2 | −22s 13c | |
| 2 | −25s 8c | |
| 2 | −48s 76c | |
| 2 | −67s 72c | |
| 2 | −82s 36c | |
| 4 | −84s 53c | |
| 2 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 2 | – |
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