FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Colorful Kilt

Armor · Cloth · item 10048 · vendor 9s 35c

no demand model yet
Floor42scheapest 40s 99c
Median44s 99cby quantity
Listed7474 listings
Sold / day8avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1109%9%9%9%9%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 114 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 23% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.12, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 29% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 17:4928s 28c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4928s 28c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4927s 27c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4927s 27c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4927s 27c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4927s 27c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4927s 27c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4927s 27c43s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4928s 28c47s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4928s 28c47s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 5× Bolt of Woolen Cloth 4s 30c, 3× Red Dye 79c, 1× Fine Thread 1s

Materials 24s 87c → sells for 39s 90c: 15s 3c per craft

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