Armor · Cloth · item 10048 · vendor 9s 35c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 110 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 114 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 23% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.12, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 29% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 28s 28c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 28s 28c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 27s 27c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 27s 27c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 27s 27c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 27s 27c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 27s 27c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 27s 27c | 43s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 28s 28c | 47s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 28s 28c | 47s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 5×
Bolt of Woolen Cloth 4s 30c, 3×
Red Dye 79c, 1×
Fine Thread 1s
Materials 24s 87c → sells for 39s 90c: 15s 3c per craft
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