Fine Thread
Trade Goods · Cloth · item 2321 · vendor 25c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 16 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| floor to +10% | 20 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| +10% to +30% | 5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 41 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 47% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.401, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Bright Yellow Shirt Tailoring |
1 | 1g 93s |
 Dark Silk Shirt Tailoring |
1 | 69s 48c |
| Phoenix Bindings Tailoring | 2 | 46s 82c |
 Robes of Arcana Tailoring |
2 | 37s 57c |
| Earthen Silk Hood Tailoring | 2 | 32s 4c |
| Earthen Silk Slippers Tailoring | 2 | 23s 73c |
| Black Whelp Tunic Leatherworking | 2 | 21s 73c |
| Spinning Wheel Tailoring | 3 | 17s 67c |
 Heavy Leather Ball Leatherworking |
1 | 17s 17c |
| Earthen Leggings Tailoring | 2 | 16s 80c |
 Phoenix Pants Tailoring |
3 | 15s 24c |
 Pilferer's Gloves Leatherworking |
2 | 14s 97c |
 Green Leather Armor Leatherworking |
4 | 11s 37c |
 Guardian Belt Leatherworking |
1 | 10s 65c |
 Raptor Hide Harness Leatherworking |
2 | 10s 9c |
| Silk Reagent Bag Tailoring | 3 | 9s 94c |
 Herbalist's Gloves Leatherworking |
2 | 8s 23c |
| Field Guide Skinning | 1 | 7s 15c |
| Woolen Reagent Bag Tailoring | 1 | 6s 46c |
 Thick Murloc Armor Leatherworking |
3 | 6s 18c |
 Green Silk Pack Tailoring |
3 | 4s 28c |
 Murloc Scale Belt Leatherworking |
1 | 4s 25c |
 Fine Leather Pants Leatherworking |
1 | 3s 89c |
| Red Whelp Gloves Leatherworking |
1 | 3s 75c |
 Blue Overalls Tailoring |
2 | 2s 96c |
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