FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.4 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Earthen Silk Slippers

Armor · Cloth · item 254013 · vendor 23s 51c

no demand model yet
Floor55scheapest 55s
Median89s 98cby quantity
Listed2828 listings
Sold / day12avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor4721%34%34%34%34%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 12 sales out of 47 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 32% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.235, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 4× Bolt of Silk Cloth 8s 45c, 1× Elemental Earth 21s, 2× Fine Thread 1s, 2× Heavy Leather 1s 96c

Materials 60s 72c → sells for 52s 25c: −8s 47c per craft

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