Armor · Cloth · item 254013 · vendor 23s 51c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 47 | 21% | 34% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 12 sales out of 47 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 32% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.235, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 4×
Bolt of Silk Cloth 8s 45c, 1×
Elemental Earth 21s, 2×
Fine Thread 1s, 2×
Heavy Leather 1s 96c
Materials 60s 72c → sells for 52s 25c: −8s 47c per craft
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