Armor · Leather · item 7391 · vendor 42s 53c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 25 | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 25 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 47% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.271, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 42% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 10×
Heavy Leather 1s 97c, 2×
Swiftness Potion 7s 17c, 2×
Thick Spider's Silk 7s 50c, 1×
Silken Thread 4s 50c
Materials 53s 54c → sells for 56s 99c: 3s 45c per craft
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