Consumable · Potions · item 2459 · vendor 25c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 63 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 67 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 12% of listed quantity across 111 postings (HHI 0.03, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 14% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 70c | 10g | 4 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 70c | 10s | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 70c | 13s 64c | 2 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.