Armor · Leather · item 5966 · vendor 13s 74c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 250 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| floor to +10% | 19 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| +10% to +30% | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 275 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 13% of listed quantity across 17 postings (HHI 0.082, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 18% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 16s | 20s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 4×
Heavy Leather 2s 34c, 1×
Cured Heavy Hide 16s 85c, 1×
Silken Thread 4s 50c
Materials 30s 71c → sells for 17s 2c: −13s 69c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3g 29s |
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