FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Mild Spices

Trade Goods · Other · item 2678 · vendor 1c

no demand model yet
Floor6ccheapest 6c
Median13cby quantity
Listed6,99548 listings
Sold / day2,314avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2029%29%29%29%29%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 22 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 31% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.168, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Fillet of Frenzy Cooking 1 14s 52c
Lean Venison Cooking 4 7s 19c
Roasted Kodo Meat Cooking 1 6s 46c
Lean Wolf Steak Cooking 1 1s 23c
Slimy Smoothie Cooking 2 92c
Seasoned Wolf Kabob Cooking 1 76c
Goretusk Liver Pie Cooking 1 59c
Venomous Smoothie Cooking 1 45c
Crispy Bat Wing Cooking 1 14c
Savory Deviate Delight Cooking 1 1c
Smoked Sagefish Cooking 1 −3c
Herb Baked Egg Cooking 1 −17c
Simple Poultice First Aid 1 −23c
Tasty Raptor Bites Cooking 4 −27c
Clam Chowder Cooking 1 −66c
Minor Healing Potion First Aid 1 −99c
Spiced Wolf Meat Cooking 1 −1s 15c
Lesser Healing Potion First Aid 2 −1s 19c
Twice-Spiced Raptor Slice Cooking 2 −1s 81c
Dry Pork Ribs Cooking 1 −2s 30c
Crab Cake Cooking 1 −2s 62c
Savory Whimsyfin Delight Cooking 1 −6s 61c
Cooked Crab Claw Cooking 1 –
Crocolisk Steak Cooking 1 –
Loch Frenzy Delight Cooking 1 –

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