FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Spiced Wolf Meat

Consumable · Food & Drink · item 2680 · vendor 10c

no demand model yet

Floor94ccheapest 94c

Median95cby quantity

Listed19714 listings

Sold / day477avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%+10% to +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	19	90%	90%	90%	90%	90%
floor to +10%	8	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
+10% to +30%	5	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 22 sales out of 33 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 34% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.266, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 51% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Cooking: 1× Stringy Wolf Meat 1s 95c, 1× Mild Spices 6c

Materials 2s 1c → sells for 89c: −1s 12c per craft

Can craft it: David, Didgood, Holy, John, Mister, Nethiri, Zolon