Trade Goods · Other · item 2605 · vendor 25c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 66 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 67 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 17 postings (HHI 0.188, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 47% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 41c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 41c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 41c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 41c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 41c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 44c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 44c | 20 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25s 28c | |
| 2 | 11s 37c | |
| 1 | 4s 28c | |
| 1 | −58c | |
| 1 | −1s 19c | |
| 1 | −1s 27c | |
| 1 | −2s 99c | |
| 1 | −3s 65c | |
| 1 | −4s 81c | |
| 1 | −6s | |
| 1 | −6s 31c | |
| 1 | −9s 12c | |
| 2 | −13s 61c | |
| 2 | −15s 17c | |
| 1 | −17s 2c | |
| 1 | −31s 6c | |
| 1 | – | |
| 4 | – | |
| Green Winter Clothes Tailoring | 2 | – |
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