FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Green Woolen Vest

Armor · Cloth · item 2582 · vendor 2s 16c

no demand model yet

Floor2s 99ccheapest 2s 99c

Median3s 95cby quantity

Listed2222 listings

Sold / day9avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	10	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
floor to +10%	10	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 20 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 55% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.438, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 80% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 2× Bolt of Woolen Cloth 4s 35c, 2× Fine Thread 94c, 1× Green Dye 1s 38c

Materials 11s 96c → sells for 2s 84c: −9s 12c per craft

Can craft it: Ezrealith, Zolon