Armor · Miscellaneous · item 6385 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 14 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 14 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 41% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.241, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 4×
Bolt of Woolen Cloth 4s 35c, 2×
Green Dye 1s 35c, 1×
Gray Dye 3s 99c, 1×
Fine Thread 94c
Materials 25s 3c → sells for 9s 50c: −15s 53c per craft
Can craft it: Shermoond
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