Gray Dye
Trade Goods · Other · item 4340 · vendor 87c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 15 | 15% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 58% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 17 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 22% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.152, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 25% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Dark Silk Shirt Tailoring |
2 | 69s 48c |
 Dark Leather Shoulders Leatherworking |
1 | 2s 15c |
 Dark Leather Tunic Leatherworking |
1 | −1c |
 Dark Leather Gloves Leatherworking |
1 | −5s 45c |
 Dark Leather Pants Leatherworking |
1 | −6s 47c |
 Dark Leather Belt Leatherworking |
1 | −6s 86c |
 Gray Leather Boots Leatherworking |
1 | −6s 92c |
 Dark Leather Cloak Leatherworking |
1 | −8s 22c |
 Gray Woolen Robe Tailoring |
1 | −9s 96c |
 Gray Woolen Shirt Tailoring |
1 | −11s 73c |
 Stylish Green Shirt Tailoring |
1 | −15s 17c |
 Stylish Blue Shirt Tailoring |
1 | −19s 72c |
| Invoker's Mantle Tailoring | 4 | – |
| Invoker's Cord Tailoring | 1 | – |
| Dark Leather Boots Leatherworking | 1 | – |
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